Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.519996 4.060476 4.652650 5.349131 6.145417 7.026949 8.076456
2025-02-02 2.950513 3.704115 4.597752 5.733682 7.137327 8.813102 10.963940
2025-02-09 2.437608 3.296802 4.388810 5.874220 7.837668 10.339449 13.764424
2025-02-16 2.033105 2.940582 4.168072 5.942082 8.431878 11.792454 16.662307
2025-02-23 1.662306 2.557161 3.838616 5.795878 8.696518 12.820862 19.111483
2025-03-02 1.346859 2.193705 3.472025 5.526434 8.726789 13.498773 21.124287
2025-03-09 1.167531 2.003364 3.327024 5.554785 9.185164 14.834885 24.248365
2025-03-16 0.989698 1.784204 3.100743 5.415015 9.349376 15.722141 26.762671
2025-03-23 0.921571 1.737167 3.144967 5.718269 10.261913 17.889183 31.570000
2025-03-30 0.843526 1.659241 3.123092 5.900072 10.982542 19.807078 36.162010
2025-04-06 0.752883 1.543302 3.016078 5.911789 11.397556 21.235307 40.047724
2025-04-13 0.638163 1.362943 2.764754 5.620383 11.217681 21.580232 42.015232
2025-04-20 0.595728 1.323453 2.782189 5.856191 12.080394 23.957783 48.073761
2025-04-27 0.573921 1.323646 2.878286 6.261088 13.323628 27.190301 56.127894
2025-05-04 0.528809 1.266461 2.849062 6.405187 14.060612 29.524831 62.689580
2025-05-11 0.482445 1.198963 2.788350 6.473645 14.647624 31.622107 69.003322
2025-05-18 0.424365 1.094688 2.632328 6.311805 14.720569 32.671477 73.261413
2025-05-25 0.365247 0.977830 2.430656 6.017558 14.460823 32.983295 75.970162
2025-06-01 0.334131 0.925644 2.372146 6.047300 14.935617 34.925622 82.432206
2025-06-08 0.296175 0.849446 2.245037 5.895019 14.966523 35.885412 86.798000
2025-06-15 0.287710 0.850662 2.309768 6.223707 16.185459 39.663165 97.999116
2025-06-22 0.272995 0.832267 2.321950 6.420717 17.104430 42.837907 108.114344
2025-06-29 0.251174 0.790079 2.266014 6.433293 17.561611 44.964164 115.944166